Amazonia
is generally seen as a kind of paradise, unchanged throughout thousands
of years, which has allowed the high level of biodiversity to develop. Contact
with humans is perceived as modern and negative, automatically putting the
forests under pressure. There are at least three reasons for doubting these
views.
First, a key principle
of evolutionary theory is that the rivers and other natural barriers which
limit contact between animal populations are what allow them to develop
along separate evolutionary paths. The very diversity of life in the rainforests
suggests massive disturbance in the past. While there is disagreement among
scientists about whether this is most likely to have been due to forest
shrinkage during the last ice age, forest fires during drought, the division
of the forest by the formation of the Andes range, human intervention, or
to some other cause, or combination of causes, some sort of disruption seems
to have been likely.
Second, people moved
into the Americas from Europe a long time ago, perhaps as long as 20-30,000
years ago (Gore, The Most Ancient Americans, National Geographic October
1997). There is archaeological evidence that people moved into the Amazon
at least 10,000 years ago, using slash and burn farming methods, based mostly
on root crops. This created a rich texture of primary (untouched) forest,
interlaced with secondary re-growth. Before contact with Europeans, it is
estimated that between one and six million people and possibly more, lived
in Amazonia, similar to today. When the Europeans arrived in Central America,
they brought with them diseases such as smallpox and influenza, which spread
down from Central America before the Europeans arrived in South America
and caused a population crash. This contributed to the myth of an untouched
virgin forest, with a few savages within and around it, rather than the
developed region which had existed just a short time previously.
Third, most people
in Amazonia nowadays live in cities. Prior to contact with Europeans far
more people were involved in farming and lived in rural areas. These people
would have raised crops, rather than cattle, so a higher rural population
could be supported. The overall cleared area of forest in 1500 was probably
close to that in 1990, although the individual areas cleared would have
been smaller. If you could have flown over Amazonia in 1500 after the rainy
season you would have seen innumerable small fires dotting the forest. The
common idea that the Amazon is being destroyed by land-hungry colonists
must be put into context with this long history of human inhabitation of
the land. Amazonia should be considered as an anthropogenic forest–one
which has been produced in its present form by man. People in Amazonia have
altered the distribution of animals and plants for thousands of years, along
with triggering increased soil erosion and altering smaller rivers and streams.
In fact, it is not unreasonable to consider humans as a keystone species
in much of the area and continued human intervention to be vital to its
health.
Amazonia, far from
being an untouched paradise has been the site of massive disruption, both
natural and human, over thousands of years. At the same time, it has managed
to support a much larger rural population than today, without triggering
massive environmental collapse.
How much biodiversity
is being lost ?
It is argued that there is a massive loss of biodiversity, mainly caused
by habitat destruction, of perhaps 50,000 species a year. The evidence
for this is slender. Scientists use two ways to estimate extinction. The
first is straightforward: count them. The second is by extrapolating loss
of species by measuring the loss of different kinds of habitat.
A species is said
to have become extinct if it has not been seen in the wild for over fifty
years. On this basis, the International Union for the Conservation of
Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN) has reported 593 extinct animal species
(IUCN Red list of Threatened Animals 1994). Another study (in 1992) listed
384 vascular plants which have become extinct. This approach will miss
many species–potentially thousands– which have never been
described by science. In addition, this approach does not mean that a
species is lost–for example the small wild cat (the guigna) weighing
just five pounds, was recently trapped on an island off Chile for the
first time in seventy years. (National Geographic October 1997).
Documented extinction
of animals peaked in the 1930s and since then has been running at
around ten per decade. About 75 per cent of recorded extinction has occurred
on islands, including almost all bird and mollusc extinction. Island species
are far more vulnerable because they have a small, confined range and
may not have evolved to deal with predators. They may also be better studied
by scientists and are more likely to be missed. Very few extinctions have
been recorded in continental tropical forest habitat, where mass extinctions
are predicted to be occurring, although this may be partly due to the
difficulty of demonstrating extinction.
The extrapolation
method is based originally on measurements on islands, which related numbers
of species to the size of island. These showed that, if one island is
ten times the size of another, you would expect to find twice as many
species. The converse also holds: if you reduce the size of a habitat
to ten per cent of the original, 50 per cent of the species will remain.
It is these mathematical models which are used to make the predictions
of enormous loss of biodiversity.
How useful are
these predictions? The simple answer is that we do not really know and
more work is needed. The equations predict the number of species which
will be found in an area of forest, not whether the species only exists
there. In addition, forests are not uniform but contain areas of different
levels of diversity. Vernon Heywood and Simon Stuart, who head the IUCNs
Plant and Species Conservation Program, recently noted that there
is currently little evidence of extinction at the rates predicted by some
theoretical models. This does not, of course, mean that there is
no cause for concern but that the figures which are commonly presented
should be treated with caution. If biodiversity hot-spots are protected,
it may be that most of the biodiversity will be too.
Why is biodiversity
important?
It is important for us to work out what value biodiversity has to us.
In arguing for the preservation of biodiversity many writers say that
nature has an intrinsic value beyond any potential uses it may hold for
humanity. They believe that the human species should be equated with other
species on an equal plane and that we should not be so arrogant as to
think that we are at the top of a natural hierarchy. Others put forward
an instrumentalists case. They argue that biodiversity should be preserved
because it could have potential benefits for humanity in the form of as
yet undiscovered drugs or foodstuffs. There are serious problems with
both arguments.
First, the case
that nature has an intrinsic value above and beyond meeting human needs.
Nature has no intrinsic value. One can agree that there is no hierarchy
in nature in evolutionary terms as all animals are on the same plane.
But humans are unique in their ability to create society and have a right
to be arrogant about their position from that perspective relative to
other species. There are many reasons for this uniqueness, the most important
is that we are the one species, that through creating society, has separated
itself from nature. Humanity as a social entity is completely divorced
from nature. The natural world in and of itself does not have any social
capabilities. Unlike animals we do not just live in nature and respond
to its dictates, we manipulate it. Although we are not alchemists–we
cannot defy nature and conjure something out of nothing–our unique
social development has been achieved through manipulating nature for our
own particular needs. In so doing we have been able to transcend natures
meagre gifts to us. Our manipulation of biodiversity is one aspect of
this process. Only human beings are able to endow species with value,
so biodiversity should be brought down from its pedestal and considered
as one human need among many.
We may feel that
we want to preserve certain aspects of the environment which enrich our
lives. The preservation of tropical forests is felt to be important by
most people who visit them. Certain species are important for aesthetic
reasons. Other species may be of less immediate interest but their existence
is of scientific and intellectual importance. We must be prepared to make
distinctions and say that the tiger is more important to us than some
species of tree slug, identical to another species except to an expert.
Once we have gained
knowledge about a chemical derived from a species, which can be used to
make a drug, we can synthesise the chemical artificially much more cheaply
than we could extract it from the plant. From that point on, the plant
loses a lot of value. Even a keystone species is only of value if the
ecosystem which it supports is important to us.
The argument that
biodiversity should be preserved because of its potential benefits for
humanity is more complicated but equally problematic. Humanity is unique
and indeed superior to nature as the only species capable of consciously
intervening in nature and utilising it to serve its own needs and thereby
allocating it value. It is therefore entirely rational to preserve biodiversity
as a pool of resources which could be of potential benefit or value to
humanity. The problem is that advocates of such an approach refuse to
put the argument for potential benefits into the broader context of human
needs. They focus almost entirely on the future potential benefits of
biodiversity preservation and ignore the immediate needs of humanity in
the here and now. In fact, attempts to preserve biodiversity in the Brazilian
Amazon have often undermined the ability of humanity to meet its immediate
needs.
Environmentalists
demands for biosphere reserves, sustainable development programmes and
nature parks and the general impact of the preservationist approach have
prevented many industrial, mining and energy development programmes from
being completed in the Brazilian Amazon. Potential benefits are just that–a
potential–of unknown benefit to some known or even unknown need.
Today we have plenty of real and immediate needs. There exist pressing
social problems such as poverty which we know that we can solve with resources
that we know exist and which we have at our immediate disposal. Brazil
has a foreign debt of about US$150 billion and this is a major contributory
factor to the misery experienced by its 43 million citizens who live below
the poverty line. Brazil also has the Amazon, a source of fantastic wealth
which could help end this misery. It is estimated that its timber supply
is alone worth US$5 trillion. To this can be added the value of its huge
stocks of minerals and its massive hydroelectric potential.
The question is
how should the Amazon be utilised to serve the needs of the country which
possesses its wealth? By focusing almost exclusively on a preservationist
approach the resolution of such huge problems would be delayed and indeed
may never arrive. The rational answer is a trade-off between the actual
and the potential. A trade-off between known solutions to immediate problems
and the future benefits of an unknown potential. If a mineral resource
which could generate billions of dollars of foreign exchange to pay off
the debt, is discovered in an area of potential biological wealth then
the mine must be built. If a dam is planned for an area which is known
to have genetic material to cure cancer or malaria and there are alternative
sites for the dam, build it elsewhere. The immediate needs of first Brazilians
and then humanity generally, should come before any potential benefits.
Many scientists
calling for the preservation of biodiversity are not driven by rational
calculations over the instrumental use of biodiversity. Much of their
scare-mongering about the extent of loss of biodiversity and the problems
of population pressure does not rely on a scientific and rational consideration
of the benefits to Brazilians or humanity generally but on sentiment.
Such sentiment will not only impede science but human development as a
whole. Arguments about conservation, including those about loss of biodiversity,
reflect a sentiment that says we no longer have much faith in the progress
of human development. That lack of faith is reflected in the current idea
that humans have already gone too far in developing the world and its
resources. Most people are today concerned with putting the brakes on.
Rather than looking for paths to make further developments in human progress
the arguments for conservation now have the upper hand. The irrational,
one-sided preservationist approach to the utilisation of biodiversity
fits into this conservative, conservationist mood. We should reject it
if we want human society to go forward and attempt to solve the real problems
we are still confronted with in Amazonia and elsewhere.

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